Tips To Making Accurate CS:GO Predictions

It would be ideal to think that the way to win CS:GO and other esports bets is to accurately predict what will happen in the events. While this is largely true, we also shed some light on the importance is basic probability and the concept of value. Simply getting your predictions straight is not necessarily enough to bring in consistent winnings. Because no matter how skilled you are, there’s almost zero chance that you’ll get all of your predictions correct. There are too many variables that continuously change in esports.

Nevertheless, it pays to be informed. And one of the most important traits of accurate CS:GO predictions involves finding value. Value is a term that you’ll eventually come across, and it’s one that you have to understand if you plan on betting long-term.

Hit rate

When betting, your hit rate signifies the number of bets you win with respect to the number of wagers you place overall. This is typically displayed as a percentage. For example, if you place 10 bets and you win 5, then you get a hit rate of 50%.

But keep in mind that your hit rate doesn’t signify your chances of winning. It simply tells you how many wagers you win with reference to the number of bets you place. This is where value enters the picture because it’s the value associated with your predictions that influences quality.

Probability

Basic probability is a measure of how likely something is to happen. Typically, this is expressed as a decimal ranging between 0 and 1.0, with 0 indicating impossibility and 1.0 indicating certainty. Meanwhile, probability is also expressed as a percentage, with 0% indicating impossibility and 100% indicating certainty.

Probability can be calculated accurately in most situations such as a coin toss where both sides have a 50% chance of landing. But, remember that probability in esports betting is totally different. Sportsbooks make sure that the odds are in their favor. You can overcome this advantage by reinforcing your esports knowledge and combining it with probability and value. In return, this provides you with more accurate CS:GO predictions.

Value

Value relates to how much you can expect to win from a bet. It is a measure based on the overall probability of it winning. The calculation for value is: Value = (Probability of Winning x Amount Won Per bet) - (Probability of Losing x Stake).

Ultimately, assessing the value of wagers is a great way to aid accurate CS:GO predictions. Remember that this does not automatically guarantee success, but rather a way to track down profitable bets should you get it correctly.